# Module 3 Overview

## Theme

Causal inference and confounding

## Essential Question

Why is prediction not the same as cause?

## Module Components

- `Book prose`: conceptual framing, domain scenario, methods, and failure modes
- `Assignment`: evidence-backed production of a specific artifact
- `Slides`: presentation sequence for seminar or lecture delivery
- `Narration`: spoken version of the slide flow
- `Instructor notes`: facilitation plan, discussion prompts, and grading cues
- `Rubric`: criteria for evaluating the module artifact
- `Notebook`: executable lab aligned with the module theme using synthetic patient-level risk factors including utilization, chronic-condition count, access burden, and prior intervention

## Module Artifact

risk stratification brief with equity checks, intervention criteria, and monitoring plan focused on causal inference and confounding: Analyze confounding in a public-health scenario.

## Professional Setting

Students work as if advising a population health team prioritizing outreach for patients with elevated near-term risk. Their work must be intelligible to population health director, care manager, privacy officer, and community advisory representative.